Monday, August 29, 2011

Reduced Standard of Living

World Consumption of Resources by Per-capita Income

We in the United States consume roughly 24% of the world's natural resources while we represent less than 8% of the world's population. We can do this because we are the richest society. Until recently our economy could afford to purchase these resources on the world market. Before the 21st century a majority of the earth's people lived in 3rd world countries lacking the industrial base to even make use of resources, much less be able to afford things such as automobiles, air conditioning, running water, super markets, etc. Prior to this decade American's consumption of over a quarter of the earth's resources had little impact on unindustrialized nations since their economies were stagnant and
demand for additional resources remained fairly low.

Everything has changed. We now live in a global society. Many countries and regions are rapidly emerging into industrial economies. I read a UN study that calculated that when a country creates an industrial economy, its consumption of resources increases six fold.

Crude oil prices reflect the new global supply and demand economy, where we pay between $65 to $90 to refuel our large automobiles. Likewise the cost of building supplies and even basic foods are quickly being enveloped by the world economy. Poorer countries are already paying the price of the world's inability to grow enough food. Food prices have nowhere to go but up. As more and more people become members of industrialized economies they will have more money to spend, which will inevitably drive up prices.

America has paid a price for its high lifestyle. I have read that if you combine the national debt, private debt and decades long trade deficit debt, the figure exceeds 60 trillion dollars. The US has most likely stretched its credit to the point where our nation may be forced to devalue its currency and restructure both governmental and private debt. It is doubtful we will continue to be able to afford our luxurious lifestyle in a global market where more and more millions of people are gaining affluence and will be able to compete for the limited resources that are the direct result of the growing global population.

What will life be like when Americans have to live within their means? I try to imagine existing on less than 1/3rd of what I presently consume. Most residents on Longboat are at the top of the economic food-chain and are old enough that we will avoid the inevitable changes brought on by the emerging global economy. Still if we do not begin to tighten our belts we may discover that the party is already over and that like Argentina and Greece we are faced with immediate and harsh economic realities.